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Why did Ether price reach $3.5K, and what’s next?



The subsequent few months promise to be exhilarating and decisive for Ether (ETH), as its latest all-time highs above $3,500 put an excellent larger highlight on the cryptocurrency and its sensible contract blockchain, Ethereum.

Because the cryptocurrency markets proceed to develop 5 months into 2021, each the preeminent Bitcoin (BTC) and a bunch of different blockchain initiatives and tokens have soared in worth, chief amongst them being Ether. The second-biggest cryptocurrency by market capitalization has loved a buoyant fortnight that has seen it rise to new heights.

Certainly, ETH went on a late-April surge, backed by a number of key elements which have led to a speedy price appreciation throughout cryptocurrency markets. The booming decentralized finance sector coupled with the burgeoning nonfungible token, or NFT, house have been attributed as main causes for ETH’s price increase, as these applied sciences are principally based mostly on the Ethereum blockchain. Nevertheless, the significance of the lately applied Berlin improve and bullish ETH choices merchants has helped push the price of the community’s token even greater.

The booming price of ETH has additionally led to renewed discuss of a fabled ETH–BTC “flippening,” which might see Ether overtake Bitcoin as essentially the most helpful cryptocurrency by market capitalization. Whereas that’s nonetheless a good distance off, as Ether’s $411-billion market cap is value simply 39% of Bitcoin’s $1.06-trillion market cap, ETH is more and more catching up.

That is evident within the sheer quantity of capital that’s being poured into Ether by buyers. CoinShares lately estimated that institutional funding managers and companies maintain round $13.9 billion in ETH, with $30 million value of ETH bought within the final week of April and round $170 million purchased over the previous calendar month.

The query on the minds of cryptocurrency merchants, “hodlers,” Ethereum proponents, DeFi and NFT customers, and the broader neighborhood is pretty apparent: What lies in retailer for ETH over the subsequent few months, and can the community sustain with the demand?

Speculatively bullish?

Maria Paula Fernandez, adviser to the board of administrators of Golem Community — a protocol constructed on Ethereum’s second layer that facilitates computational useful resource sharing — advised Cointelegraph that the subsequent few months promise to be thrilling given the expansion up till this level.

Whereas she was cautious to present an outright price prediction for ETH, Fernandez believes that the upcoming modifications to the community will pave the best way for additional progress in worth throughout the Ethereum ecosystem: “I’m in as much awe as everybody else, so out of abundance of caution, I’m having a hard time making predictions, but I can definitely say that $10k ETH is no longer a pipe dream but something that’s likely to happen.”

Fernandez agreed that the price of ETH might definitely go greater within the subsequent two months main as much as the deployment of the hotly debated Ethereum Enchancment Proposal 1559, which is able to kind a part of the London arduous fork.

Whereas the looming EIP-1559 will play an integral function, Fernandez stated that Ethereum’s utility has already been proved as a greater answer for numerous monetary instruments and that this can be a key driver of the price of ETH. “The NFT fever coupled with 2020’s DeFi summer brought in swathes of new users and they are here to stay.” She added additional:

“Now, 2021 has been proving to be the year of Layer 2 solutions, which alleviated the challenges with Ethereum’s scalability, and that, together with the incredible improvements on UX on the application layer which makes it easier to use an Ethereum-based app than, say, online banking, clearly proves ETH as fuel and as hard money for the open finance ecosystem.”

Nikhil Shamapant, a retail investor and medical resident, lately printed a analysis report titled “Ethereum, The Triple Halving” by which he introduced arguments for why he thinks ETH might see a meteoric rise in worth to round $150,000 by 2023.

When requested by the place ETH could possibly be headed within the subsequent couple of months main as much as the London arduous fork, Shamapant offered Cointelegraph with an especially bullish, and admittedly speculative, prediction for the sensible contract blockchain’s native token:

“It definitely can go much higher, I think we can see the price go to $10,000, where a lot of ETH bull price targets begin to kick in and people take profits. I think we’ll head up to that $10-25k range, hit a lot of supply and could see some big drawdowns and consolidation at that point.”

Shamapant’s lofty long-term price prediction for ETH does must be put into context. If the price of ETH had been to hit $150,000, the market cap of the cryptocurrency can be round $17 trillion, contemplating that there’s 115,764,316 ETH in circulation. In contrast to Bitcoin’s finite provide of 21 million BTC, there isn’t any provide cap for Ether, which is a part of the explanation that the community is trying to implement EIPs that introduce some form of deflationary mechanism, like EIP-1559 — however extra on that later.

As Shamapant unpacks in his report, issues might be ramping up as of Could, however the present price of ETH and the burgeoning use of NFTs and DeFi might nicely be the catalyst of some severe progress for an ecosystem that he believes remains to be undervalued:

“NFTs and DeFi have shown a clear use case, but we’re still in the early innings. NFT quality is going to go up dramatically, DeFi usability will improve with scalability improvements to ETH2.0 — and yes, ETH is dramatically undervalued in this context.”

Fernandez gave a extra delicate tackle the present valuation of the Ethereum ecosystem and its native token, admitting that the community is lastly realizing its potential, which is mirrored within the price of ETH: “I don’t feel the network is undervalued. It was definitely undervalued before, and throughout the bear market — but I think right now it’s getting the recognition and visibility that it deserves.”

London looming on the horizon

The London arduous fork of the Ethereum blockchain is anticipated to happen in July and will introduce EIP-1559. The improve has been each contentious and extremely anticipated because of the modifications it’s set to make to the construction of charges paid by customers and earned by miners.

As Nick Johnson, lead developer of Ethereum Naming Service — a naming service for Ethereum wallets — defined to Cointelegraph, EIP-1559 will make some essential modifications to how charges are calculated and paid for on the blockchain:

“It [the London hard fork] will include EIP-1559, the much-anticipated rework of the transaction fee market, which will have a huge impact on user-experience sending transactions on a congested network. It will also make it possible for smart contracts to fetch the ‘base fee’ — effectively, the gas cost of the current block — which will make projects such as gas-price-derivatives and tokens possible.”

The most important purpose that EIP-1559 has additionally been labeled contentious is the built-in ETH burn mechanism that may destroy a number of the Ether used to pay the related transaction charge. This has had Ethereum miners up in arms, as receiving transaction charges has historically been an essential incentive for miners to keep up the community by confirming transactions and bundling them into blocks.

Though EIP-1559 has met some opposition from miners, the upside promised by the discount in charges will probably positively influence the price of and increase much more curiosity in Ether, which have each been nothing in need of astronomical with DeFi platforms and decentralized software utilization exploding in latest months.